Last updated on September 10th, 2025
As the MMA world turns its attention to Paris for this weekend’s UFC Fight Night on September 6th, betting experts are closely analyzing the main event, a compelling middleweight clash between Nassourdine Imavov and Caio Borralho.
Current odds have positioned Borralho as a narrow favorite at –130, indicating that while he is expected to win, the fight is anticipated to be highly competitive.
The betting line suggests an implied probability of approximately 56.5% for a Borralho victory.
The consensus among fight analysts is that this main event is likely to go the distance or see a late stoppage.
Both fighters are known for their durability and strategic approach, which has led many experts to favor prop bets on the fight going to a decision rather than ending in an early knockout.
Imavov, fighting on home soil, will be looking to leverage his striking, but Borralho’s well-rounded skill set and grappling prowess are seen as the key factors that could give him the edge over five rounds.
Beyond the headline bout, betting insights for the undercard suggest several opportunities for prop bettors.
A number of the UFC preliminary and main card fights are predicted to end inside the distance, making KO/TKO finish a popular bet.
For several of the more explosive matchups, wagering on the under 2.5 rounds is also being highlighted as a potentially valuable play.
As with any fight card, odds are subject to change as the event approaches, but the early analysis points to a strategic and engaging night of fights, with Borralho holding a slight edge in the much-anticipated main event.
