The stage is set for a historic and statistically improbable showdown at Levi’s Stadium. On Sunday, Feb. 8, 2026, the Seattle Seahawks and New England Patriots will meet in Super Bowl LX, a matchup that oddsmakers are calling the most unlikely in at least 50 years, and this includes the coin toss.
From Long Shots to Levi’s Stadium
At the start of the season, few predicted these two storied franchises would be the last ones standing. The Seahawks opened the preseason as 60-1 long shots at BetMGM, while the Patriots faced even steeper odds at 80-1. Both teams defied the projections, finishing the regular season with identical 14-3 records to secure their spots in the big game.
The Seahawks enter the contest as 4.5-point favorites, with the total points line (Over/Under) set at 45.5.
The “Sam Darnold” Renaissance
A central narrative of this championship is the resurgence of Seahawks quarterback Sam Darnold. After years of bouncing around the league, Darnold has found a home in Seattle, leading the team to a dominant season. Sportsbooks currently list him as the +115 favorite to take home the Super Bowl LX MVP trophy.
Betting Handle Hits Fever Pitch
Super Bowl LX is expected to draw the highest single-day betting volume in American sports history. “Whale” bettors have already begun moving massive sums of capital, with significant action leaning toward the underdog Patriots.
Notable Wagers to Date:
- $2 Million: Placed at Caesars on the Patriots to win (+200). Potential payout: $4 Million.
- $1.1 Million: Placed at Circa Sports on the Patriots to win (+188). Potential payout: $2.1 Million.
- $1 Million: Placed at Hard Rock Bet on the Seahawks Moneyline (-230). Potential payout: $434,783.
- $725,000: Placed at BetMGM on the Patriots to win (+195). Potential payout: $1.41 Million.
Prop Bet Fever: The $100k Coin Toss
While the game itself draws the most eyes, the “exotic” prop bets are seeing record handles. On Friday, Feb. 6, Caesars Sportsbook in Iowa reported a staggering $100,000 wager on “Tails” at -103 odds for the opening coin toss of the Super Bowl.
Historically, the bettor has the slight edge of the law of averages on their side: in Super Bowl history, tails has turned up 31 times compared to heads’ 28.
