As the NFL world descends upon Levi’s Stadium for Super Bowl 60, the betting landscape is witnessing a historic surge in activity. While traditionalists focus on the 4.5-point spread favoring the Seattle Seahawks, the true action is found in the massive secondary market: Super Bowl prop bets 2025 and 2026 data indicates that legal U.S. handle could reach a record $1.76 billion.
The “Sam Darnold” Narrative Dominates MVP Odds
One of the best Super Bowl prop bets this season centers on the dramatic redemption story of Seahawks quarterback Sam Darnold. Darnold enters the championship as the +150 favorite to win Super Bowl MVP. Analysts point to the Seahawks’ league-leading dropback success rate as a primary reason for his short odds, though sharp bettors are also eyeing defensive long shots.
- Top MVP Candidates:
- Sam Darnold (SEA): +150
- Drake Maye (NE): +350
- Kenneth Walker III (SEA): +700
- Devon Witherspoon (SEA): +3500 (Value Long Shot)
High-Stakes Player Props to Watch
The battle between two top-5 scoring defenses is expected to drive heavy “Under” action on several player yardage totals. Despite the defensive focus, Jaxon Smith-Njigba is a focal point for many of the best Super Bowl prop bets, as he leads the NFL in receiving grade against man coverage.
| Player Prop Category | Key Figure/Line | Betting Trend |
| Passing Yards | Drake Maye: 262.5 | Over 262.5 is drawing “comeback” money |
| Anytime TD | J. Smith-Njigba: -111 | Most-bet player to score a touchdown |
| Rushing Yards | K. Walker III: 82.5 | Under 82.5 gaining steam vs. NE’s run D |
| Receiving Yards | Hunter Henry: 37.5 | Over 37.5 favored as SEA allows high TE volume |
Novelty Markets and Market Projections
The inclusion of Missouri as a legal betting state for the first time is expected to pad the national handle, even as prediction markets like Kalshi and Polymarket offer new “yes/no” contract alternatives. Beyond player performance, exotic Super Bowl prop bets 2025 like the coin toss (50/50) and the length of the national anthem remain crowd favorites for recreational bettors.
“This year’s big game will continue the streak of record Super Bowl handle for the regulated U.S. market,” highlighted Eric Ramsey, an analyst at Legal Sports Report. Operators are expecting a massive surge in mobile engagement, with over 523,000 app downloads projected for game day alone.
