Super Bowl LX is shaping up to be a historic clash between the long-shot Seattle Seahawks and New England Patriots. Beyond the traditional point spread, the real action is in the prop bets. As the most heavily wagered single-day sporting event in America, Super Bowl LX offers an unparalleled array of opportunities. From predicting the unexpected to backing individual stars, knowing the best Super Bowl prop bets can significantly enhance your viewing experience.
Here’s your ultimate guide to the top 10 most popular bets for Super Bowl LX, drawing insights from major sportsbooks and betting trends.
1. The Point Spread: Seattle Seahawks (-4.5)
While not strictly a “prop” bet, the point spread remains the most popular wager by volume. The Seahawks are favored by 4.5 points, and public money is heavily leaning towards Seattle to cover, driven by the narrative of Sam Darnold’s career-defining season.
2. Moneyline: New England Patriots (+195)
The Patriots, who started the season at 80-1 odds, represent the ultimate underdog story. Their moneyline at +195 offers substantial value, making it a favorite for “whale” bettors and those who believe the Patriots can pull off a straight-up upset.
3. Game Total: Over 45.5 Points
The public consistently favors the “Over” in big games. With both teams showcasing potent offenses in the playoffs—Seattle ranking 3rd (28.4 ppg) and New England 2nd (28.8 ppg)—bettors are anticipating a higher-scoring affair than the 45.5 total suggests.
4. Super Bowl MVP: Sam Darnold (+115)
The starting quarterback of the winning team has taken home the MVP in 34 of the previous 59 Super Bowls. Sam Darnold is the clear favorite at +115, as bettors bank on him capping off his Cinderella renaissance with the Pete Rozelle Trophy.
5. The Coin Toss: Tails (-103)
One of the fastest ways to win, the coin toss draws massive volume. This year, one bettor in Iowa made headlines with a $100,000 wager on Tails. Historically, Tails has a slight 31-28 edge over Heads in Super Bowl history.
Deep Dive: Coin Toss History & The “Winner’s Curse”
Patterns in the coin toss are a favorite for trend-watchers. However, winning the flip rarely guarantees a championship:
- The Results: In 59 Super Bowls, Tails leads Heads 31 to 28.
- The “Curse”: Interestingly, winning the coin toss has historically been a bad omen. Coin-toss winners have gone on to win the Super Bowl only 25 or 26 times, resulting in a 42.4% win rate.
- Streaks: The longest streak for a single side was Heads winning five times in a row (2009–2013).
- Conference Luck: The NFC holds a significant historical advantage in toss wins, leading 37–22 over the AFC.
6. First Touchdown Scorer: Kenneth Walker III (+550)
This prop offers thrilling payouts. Seahawks RB Kenneth Walker III is a top choice at +550, given his dominance in goal-line work and his record of scoring in six of his last eight games.
7. Anytime Touchdown Scorer: Jaxon Smith-Njigba (-110)
A safer variation, this wager covers a player scoring at any point. Jaxon Smith-Njigba is a heavy favorite here after scoring in each of Seattle’s first two playoff games.
8. Color of the Gatorade Shower: Blue or Orange (+240)
With both teams sporting blue in their primary colors, Blue is the current favorite alongside Orange. The payout typically lands in the final seconds of the celebration.
9. Player Passing Yards: Drake Maye (O/U 254.5)
While Darnold gets the MVP hype, Patriots QB Drake Maye is a popular target for yardage props. Maye has played at an MVP level all year, commanding an offense that ranks 3rd in the NFL for yards per game.
10. “Mike vs. Mike” Broadcast Mention (+200)
In one of the “weirder” props of Super Bowl LX, you can bet on whether the NBC broadcast will explicitly mention that the game is a “Mike vs. Mike” matchup between coaches Mike Vrabel and Mike Macdonald.
Final Thoughts: Strategy Meets Spectacle
Super Bowl LX is more than just a football game; it is the ultimate intersection of high-stakes sports and cultural spectacle. For bettors, the sheer volume of “Whale” wagers and the presence of exotic props, from Bad Bunny’s halftime wardrobe to Green Day’s pregame setlist, means there is a market for every level of expertise.
While the Seahawks and Patriots enter as the most unlikely pairing in half a century, the betting handle suggests this will be the most-watched and most-wagered game in American history. Whether you’re backing the Sam Darnold renaissance or banking on the coin toss “tails” trend, remember that in the Super Bowl, the only certainty is the unexpected. Play responsibly, enjoy the spectacle, and may the odds be ever in your favor.
